Currency Correlations
The following study uses correlation analysis to examine some of the linkages between various currencies. The calculations were made using daily data over the period from March 2, 2026 to August 31, 2026 (Tables…
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Special Analysis
Economic research, market commentary and updates from Consensus Economics and its contributor network.
Seasonal Currency Patterns
These could arise from a number of sources, including dependence on industries which are subject to seasonal swings in demand or supply (tourism and agriculture, for example) and financial effects such as the repatriation…
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Trends in Nominal and Real Bond Yields
As central banks loosened policy and purchased large quantities of government bonds, the price of these bonds were pushed higher and yields declined throughout the 2010s. Weak growth and subdued inflation reinforced expectations that…
Read articleFactors Affecting Exchange Rates
Scores were assigned to each of the factors on a scale of 0 (no influence) to 10 (very strong influence). The consensus results are the averages of individual panellists' scores for each factor. Given…
Read articleFactors Affecting Commodity Prices
Scores were assigned to each of the factors on a scale of 0 (no influence) to 10 (very strong influence). The consensus results are the averages of individual panellists' scores for each factor. Given…
Read articleSeasonal Price Patterns
These could arise from a number of factors, including dependence on industries which are subject to seasonal swings in demand and the annual weather cycle. In order to identify such patterns (or lack thereof),…
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