Nominal GDP for Poland was US$679.8bn in 2021, down from US$596.6bn in 2020. The Polish population was estimated at 38.3m in 2021 according to the IMF, while Germany is Poland’s biggest trading partner.

Variables Surveyed for Poland

Variables covered in our monthly analysis of Poland include:

  • Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
  • Private Consumption
  • Gross Fixed Investment
  • Industrial Production
  • Consumer Price Inflation
  • Average Gross Monthly Wages and Salaries
  • Money Supply
  • General Government Budget Balance
  • Merchandise Exports
  • Merchandise Imports
  • Trade Balance
  • Current Account Balance
  • Interest Rates
  • Zloty Currency Forecasts
  • Monthly Inflation Forecasts

Consensus Forecasts for Poland

Individual panellist forecasts are shown for each of the variables surveyed, along with the consensus (mean) forecast. The rows of forecasts are ranked by the GDP growth estimate for the current year, highest to lowest. In the hard copy and pdf version of the publication, we also show selected “comparison forecasters”  including the National Bank of Poland, IMF, OECD, and European Commission. The table below shows a small example set of forecasts for GDP Growth and Consumer Prices (CPI), taken from our survey of September 2022.

Source: Eastern Europe Conensus Forecasts, September 2022

Special Surveys

In addition to the regular surveys for the variables listed above we also undertake a number of Special Surveys for Poland on topics such as:

Main Data Sources for Poland

  • Statistics Poland: Główny Urząd Statystyczny is the official statistics office of Poland.
  • National Bank of Poland: Narodowy Bank Polski is the central bank of the Republic of Poland. The fundamental objective of the NBP's activity is to maintain price stability.

Comprehensive Forecasts Coverage

Consensus Economics has collected forecasts for more than 30 years, building up a comprehensive catalogue of historical forecasts data. Please enquire at editors@consensuseconomics.com should you wish to find out more about these data offerings, pricing and the different platforms by which you can access them.