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Greece: More Problems Lie Ahead
If all goes according to plan, the Greek parliament’s approval of new austerity measures at the end of June, followed by the euro area’s disbursement of the fifth tranche of…
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What Happens if the Renminbi is Floated?
China may liberalise its rigid exchange rate regime sooner than most observers expect. But what will happen if the renminbi is allowed to float freely? In this article, we argue…
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Greek Debt Restructuring Difficult to Avoid
Greek Debt Restructuring – A Political Decision The question of if, when and how a Greek debt restructuring could take place is a complicated matter. Our projections show that it…
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G7 Long-Term Forecasts
This month, we explore Significant Changes in Long-Term Forecast Trends for GDP and Inflation for the US, Japan, Germany, France, the UK and Canada. Long-term projections for the 6-10 year…
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Are ECB Rate Hikes Going to Finish Off the Periphery?
Figure 5: Peripheral Monetary Conditions Still Accommodative Except in Greece
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Emerging Economies – Risks of Overheating
Figure 5: Equity Capital Flows to Emerging Economies
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Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Region – 2011 A Year of Political Turmoil
Figure 5: MENA: Comparative Political Analysis (2010)
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UK – CPI Inflation Overshoots Yet Again
Figure 1: UK - Outturns for Inflation Compared to MPC Forecasts Made Four Quarters Earlier, 1998-2010
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Are the CEE Countries Better Credits Than the EMU Periphery?
Chart 5: National Savings (% of GDP) Minus Budget Balance (% of GDP)
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