Nominal GDP for Bulgaria was $112.2bn in 2024, up from $102.4bn in 2023. The Bulgarian population was estimated at 6.8m in 2024 according to the IMF, while Germany is Bulgaria’s biggest trading partner.
Variables Surveyed for Bulgaria
Variables covered in our monthly analysis of Bulgaria include:
- Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
- Household Consumption
- Gross Fixed Investment
- Industrial Production
- Consumer Price Inflation
- General Government Budget Balance
- Merchandise Exports
- Merchandise Imports
- Trade Balance
- Current Account Balance
- Foreign Currency Reserves
- Lev Currency Forecasts
- Monthly Inflation Forecasts
Consensus Forecasts for Bulgaria
Individual panellist forecasts are shown for each of the variables surveyed, along with the consensus (mean) forecast. The rows of forecasts are ranked by the GDP growth estimate for the current year, highest to lowest. in the PDF publication, we also show selected “comparison forecasters” including the IMF, OECD, and European Commission. The example below is an illustrative historical survey snapshot from September 2022, showing how individual forecasts and the consensus are presented.
Source: Eastern Europe Consensus Forecasts, September 2022
Special Surveys
In addition to the regular surveys for the variables listed above we also undertake a number of Special Surveys for Bulgaria on topics such as:- Quarterly Forecasts
- Long-Term Forecasts
- Forecast Probabilities
- Sectoral Growth and Foreign Direct Investment
Main Data Sources for Bulgaria
- National Statistical Institute: The National Statistical Institute or NSI is the Bulgarian state agency responsible for the collection and dissemination of statistical data on the population, economy and environment of the country.
- Bulgarian National Bank: The BNB is an independent issuing institution of the State reporting to the National Assembly. It plays a key role in the Bulgarian economy and takes care of maintaining the stability of the Bulgarian currency, and of strengthening and development of the banking and credit system in the country.
Comprehensive Forecasts Coverage
Consensus Economics has collected forecasts for more than 30 years, building up a comprehensive catalogue of historical forecasts data. Please enquire at editors@consensuseconomics.com should you wish to find out more about these data offerings, pricing and the different platforms by which you can access them.Explore forecasts across Eastern Europe
Alongside this country forecast, explore the other economies covered by our Eastern Europe forecast publication.