Foreign Direct Investment Forecasts

In addition to their regular economic forecasts, our country panellists are occasionally asked to provide projections for net foreign direct investment inflows (FDI) for the current and next year. We undertake special surveys of FDI inflows across our publications Asia Pacific Consensus Forecasts, Latin American Consensus Forecasts and Eastern Europe Consensus Forecasts and the resulting tables and analysis are displayed in both the hard copy and PDF versions of the publications.


Asia Pacific
Consensus Forecasts
Latin American
Consensus Forecasts
Eastern Europe
Consensus Forecasts
Australia Argentina Czech Republic
China Brazil Hungary
Hong Kong Chile Poland
India Mexico Russia
Indonesia Venezuela Turkey
Malaysia Colombia Bulgaria
New Zealand Peru Croatia
Philippines Estonia
Singapore Latvia
South Korea Lithuania
Taiwan Romania
Thailand Slovakia


The Consensus Forecasts™, representing averages of our individual country panellists’ projections, were used to calculate estimates of FDI in relation to country size, i.e. as a share of nominal GDP, and population. The table below shows a small portion of the data from one of our surveys of forecasts Foreign Direct Investment (in this case, from our November 2021 Asia Pacific Consensus Forecasts survey).

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), i.e. investment in one country by the residents of another, includes equity transactions, reinvested earnings and various inter-company capital transactions. FDI is generally considered to be more motivated by longer term considerations than portfolio investment in tradable securities. FDI data is recorded in the financial account of the balance of payments, but cross-country comparisons can often be complicated by the different statistical methods used for compilation and the exchange rate chosen for converting local currency into US dollars. Although the coronavirus pandemic has lingered throughout this year and growth prospects have deteriorated amid fresh outbreaks, most countries are expected to witness higher FDI inflows in 2021 after foreign investment dipped last year. Asia’s largest economy, China, will continue to attract the bulk of investment, while small city-states like Hong Kong and Singapore will follow closely behind with FDI inflows coming in at around the US$100bn mark.

A portion of the text from Asia Pacific Consensus Forecasts, November 8, 2021.