Consensus Forecasts™ – USA

Nominal GDP for the United States was US$22,996bn in 2021, down from US$20,937bn in 2020. The United States population was estimated at 337.0m in 2021 according to the IMF, while China is the United States’ biggest trading partner.

Variables Surveyed for the United States

Variables covered in our monthly analysis of the United States include:

  • Real Gross Domestic Product
  • Nominal Gross Domestic Product
  • Disposable Personal Income
  • Personal Consumption
  • Government Consumption
  • Business Investment
  • Pre-Tax Profits
  • Change in Business Inventories
  • Net Exports
  • Industrial Production
  • Consumer Prices
  • Core PCE Prices
  • Producer Prices
  • Employment Costs
  • Auto and Light Truck Sales
  • Housing Starts
  • Unemployment Rate
  • Current Account
  • Federal Budget Balance
  • Interest Rates
  • Monetary Policy Evaluation
  • US dollar Forecasts

Those in bold are also surveyed on a quarterly basis each month.

Special Surveys

In addition to the regular surveys for the variables listed above we also undertake a number of Special Surveys for the United States on topics such as:

Main Data Sources for the United States

  • U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: The Bureau of Labor Statistics measures labor market activity, working conditions, price changes, and productivity in the U.S. economy to support public and private decision making.
  • U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA): The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) promotes a better understanding of the U.S. economy by providing the most timely, relevant, and accurate economic accounts data in an objective and cost-effective manner.
  • The Federal Reserve: The Federal Reserve System is the central bank of the United States.

Comprehensive Forecasts Coverage

Consensus Economics has collected forecasts for more than 30 years, building up a comprehensive catalogue of historical forecasts data. Please enquire at should you wish to find out more about these data offerings, pricing and the different platforms by which you can access them.