Consensus Forecasts™ - USA

Published monthly, Consensus Forecasts - USA offers a comprehensive outlook for the United States economy, covering 20 macroeconomic variables over a 2 year forecast horizon. Forecasts are provided by leading economists whose individual views are shown together with the average (mean) forecast. Our analysis includes 4 years of historical data for these same variables as well as written text and charts. Furthermore, the publication provides Consensus Forecasts™ for the major currencies against the US dollar in 3, 12 and 24 months time. [United States Economic Forecasts are also available in Consensus Forecasts]

12 Monthly issues of CF-USA per year US$544

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Consensus Forecasts™ – USA

Nominal GDP for the United States was US$22,996bn in 2021, down from US$20,937bn in 2020. The United States population was estimated at 337.0m in 2021 according to the IMF, while China is the United States’ biggest trading partner.

Variables Surveyed for the United States

Variables covered in our monthly analysis of the United States include:

Real Gross Domestic Product Nominal Gross Domestic Product Disposable Personal Income Personal Consumption Government Consumption Business Investment Pre-Tax Profits Change in Business Inventories Net Exports Industrial Production Consumer Prices	Core PCE Prices Producer Prices Employment Costs Auto and Light Truck Sales Housing Starts Unemployment Rate Current Account Federal Budget Balance Interest Rates Monetary Policy Evaluation US dollar Forecasts

Real Gross Domestic Product
Nominal Gross Domestic Product
Disposable Personal Income
Personal Consumption
Government Consumption
Business Investment
Pre-Tax Profits
Change in Business Inventories
Net Exports
Industrial Production
Consumer Prices

Core PCE Prices
Producer Prices
Employment Costs
Auto and Light Truck Sales
Housing Starts
Unemployment Rate
Current Account
Federal Budget Balance
Interest Rates
Monetary Policy Evaluation
US dollar Forecasts

Those in bold are also surveyed on a quarterly basis each month.

Special Surveys

In addition to the regular surveys for the variables listed above we also undertake a number of Special Surveys for the United States on topics such as:

G-7 Quarterly Forecasts
G-7 Long-Term 5 and 10 Year Forecasts
Economic Policy Evaluation
Trends in Productivity and Wages
Corporate Profits and Real Interest Rates
Forecast Probabilities

Main Data Sources for the United States

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: The Bureau of Labor Statistics measures labor market activity, working conditions, price changes, and productivity in the U.S. economy to support public and private decision making.
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA): The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) promotes a better understanding of the U.S. economy by providing the most timely, relevant, and accurate economic accounts data in an objective and cost-effective manner.
The Federal Reserve: The Federal Reserve System is the central bank of the United States.

Comprehensive Forecasts Coverage

Consensus Economics has collected forecasts for more than 30 years, building up a comprehensive catalogue of historical forecasts data. Please enquire at editors@consensuseconomics.com should you wish to find out more about these data offerings, pricing and the different platforms by which you can access them.

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Topics Covered

Real GDP
Nominal GDP
Personal Income
Personal Consumption
Government Consumption
Business Investment
Pre-Tax Profits
Business Inventories
Net Exports
Industrial Production
Consumer Prices
Core PCE Prices
Producer Prices
Employment Costs
Auto Sales
Housing Starts
Unemployment Rate
Current Account
Budget Balance
Interest Rates
Monetary Policy
US dollar
And More.