Consensus Economics
World's Leading Macroeconomic Survey Firm
  • A Specialised Firm
  • What are Consensus Forecasts?
    • What Are Consensus Forecasts?
    • Research Bibliography & Econometric Modelling
    • Consensus Forecasts in Business Planning
    • News and Articles
  • How Accurate?
  • Consistent
    Monthly Surveys
    • Consensus Forecasts™ – G7 & Western Europe
    • Asia Pacific Consensus Forecasts™
    • Eastern Europe Consensus Forecasts™
    • Latin American Consensus Forecasts™
    • Foreign Exchange Consensus Forecasts™
    • Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts™
    • Consensus Forecasts™ – USA
    • Current Economics – Non-Academic Journal
  • Special Surveys
  • Ordering & Prices
  • Sign Up for a Free PDF Trial!

    Sign Up for a Free PDF Trial!

    – Economic forecasts from elite panels of experts.
    – Up to date special surveys on topical issues.
    – See how quality data can support effective business decisions.

    Sign UpAsk A Question
  • Forecasts on Monthly Inflation

    Forecasts on Monthly Inflation

    – Year-on-Year Consensus Forecasts polled in each monthly survey.
    – Forecasts out up to 12 months from the survey date.
    – Featured for all G7 economies, plus many more.
    – Inflation coverage also at annual and quarterly horizons.

    Download SamplesOrder
  • Energy & Metals Forecasts

    Energy & Metals Forecasts

    – Surveys of More than 40 Commodity Experts

    – Individual and Consensus Forecasts

    – Futures v Consensus Price Forecasts Charts

    – 20+ Years of Historical Forecast Data

    More DetailsOrder
  • Use Reliable Forecasts to Make Better Investment Decisions

    Use Reliable Forecasts to Make Better Investment Decisions

    – Compare Different Views
    – Overcome the Problem of Selection
    – Use Up to Date, High Frequency Data

    Download SamplesOrder
  • Data For Investors – Time Series
  • Excel Data with TrendCharts
  • Delivery Methods
    – Structured Files
  • Recent Forecast Changes
  • Contact Us
  • Download Samples

Author: Consensus Economics Panellist

Posted on January 29, 2016November 2, 2018

Global Outlook – Cautious Optimism Warranted

The global economy has disappointed again in 2015, growing less than expected. In contrast to previous years, emerging economies have been the main culprit, while Europe has performed in line …

Continue reading “Global Outlook – Cautious Optimism Warranted”

Posted on November 25, 2015November 2, 2018

Asia – Changing of the Guard From China to India

Macroeconomic performance across the Asian region continues to evolve, upending some long-held preconceptions in the process. The most dramatic shift has been the introduction of India’s revised national accounts, which …

Continue reading “Asia – Changing of the Guard From China to India”

Posted on April 12, 2015November 2, 2018

Tumbling Commodity Prices – No Indication of a Recession

One reason for the latest sharp fall in commodity prices is the fear of an economic slump in China. However, up to the end of June at least, China’s demand …

Continue reading “Tumbling Commodity Prices – No Indication of a Recession”

Posted on February 2, 2015November 2, 2018

Hong Kong Currency Peg Will Remain Intact Despite Growth Concern

Growth Bound to Head Lower in Q4 Hong Kong’s economy is set to face a gloomy outlook: • The ‘Occupy Central’ protests have not ended. The retail sector and food/beverage …

Continue reading “Hong Kong Currency Peg Will Remain Intact Despite Growth Concern”

Posted on April 23, 2013November 2, 2018

UK (2013): Thatcher’s Economic Legacy

Following the death of Margaret Thatcher on April 8, Britain’s first female prime minister and the longest serving in over 150 years, we take a look at her legacy and …

Continue reading “UK (2013): Thatcher’s Economic Legacy”

Posted on April 23, 2013November 2, 2018

Portugal (2013): Caught Between Court and Troika

Government Taking Refuge in Saving Promises Constitutional Court Stops Part of the Austerity Package Within the scope of the EUR 78bn rescue package granted by the troika [made up of …

Continue reading “Portugal (2013): Caught Between Court and Troika”

Posted on April 23, 2013November 2, 2018

Challenges Confronting the Bank of Japan’s Attempted Reflation (2013)

Markets are too aggressively assuming that the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) latest attempt at reflating the Japanese economy will succeed.  The Bank of Japan’s aggressive monetary easing faces numerous hurdles …

Continue reading “Challenges Confronting the Bank of Japan’s Attempted Reflation (2013)”

Posted on March 27, 2013November 2, 2018

India (2013): Pragmatic Budget, Tough to Meet

The federal budget FY13/14 tabled on February 28, 2013 was pragmatic and balanced, though meeting the targets will depend on recovery in growth, conducive external markets and a political will …

Continue reading “India (2013): Pragmatic Budget, Tough to Meet”

Posted on March 27, 2013November 2, 2018

UK (2013): Budget – Fiscal Slippage and Monetary Flexibility

– The Budget confirms that the UK’s fiscal position is worse than the OBR’s previous outlook, both in cash terms and structural terms. The Chancellor has not sought to offset …

Continue reading “UK (2013): Budget – Fiscal Slippage and Monetary Flexibility”

Posted on March 27, 2013November 2, 2018

Why Gold’s Lustre Will Fade (2013)

It’s been a glorious run. The gold price climbed by nearly 500% from 2002 to present, making it one of the best performing assets. But already, many of the forces …

Continue reading “Why Gold’s Lustre Will Fade (2013)”

Posts navigation

Previous page Page 1 Page 2 Page 3 … Page 6 Next page

Publications & Services

  • Consensus Forecasts™ – G7 & Western Europe
  • Asia Pacific Consensus Forecasts™
  • Eastern Europe Consensus Forecasts™
  • Latin American Consensus Forecasts™
  • Foreign Exchange Consensus Forecasts™
  • Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts™
  • Consensus Forecasts™ – USA
  • Current Economics – Non-Academic Journal

Directory of Central Banks

Forthcoming>>

Special Surveys in February include Trends in Productivity and Wages (CF and CF-USA) and Economic Policy Evaluation (LACF).
In March we survey for Quarter-by-Quarter Forecasts for the G7, Western Europe and Asia Pacific economies.
In April we poll for Long-Term 5-10 year forecasts in each of our four regional publications.
The April edition of Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts includes a Special Analysis of Seasonal Commodity Price Patterns.
In June we survey for Quarter-by-Quarter Forecasts for the G7, Asia Pacific and Latin American economies.
In our July surveys, we evaluate global monetary and fiscal policy conditions and assess likely policy directions over the next 12 months.
The August edition of Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts will feature a Special Survey on Factors Affecting Commodity Prices.
In September we poll for Quarter-by-Quarter Forecasts for the G7, Western Europe and Asia Pacific economies.
In October we survey for Long-Term 5-10 year forecasts for the G7, Asia Pacific, Eastern Europe and Latin American economies.
Our November publications focus on Real Interest Rates and Corporate Profits forecasts in the G7 and Western Europe, as well as FDI in Asia Pacific.
In December we survey for Quarter-by-Quarter Forecasts for the G7, Western Europe, Asia Pacific and Latin American economies.
In January, Consensus Economics surveys panellists for their 2021 and 2022 forecasts, as well as the risks associated with non-consensus outcomes.
© Copyright Consensus Economics Inc. 2010-2022
  • Home
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map