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Coal Price Forecasts

Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts is the result of a comprehensive bi-monthly (6 times per year) survey of over 30 of the world’s most prominent commodity forecasters covering over 25 individual commodity price forecasts including coal.

The only publication of its kind, Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts contains detailed individual analyst and average (mean) price forecasts for the next 10 quarters as well as the long-term outlook.

Coal Price Forecasts Image

The publication has many practical uses including commodity investment analysis, risk management, corporate planning, and budgeting. The commodities covered have been selected for their global appeal and traded on prominent futures markets such as the London Metal Exchange (LME), New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and InterContinental Exchange (ICE). The coal price forecasts below are based on Australian-Japanese contract prices for Australian hard coking coal and Australian steaming coal with a calorific value of 6700kcal/kg.

Australian Coking Coal Forecasts From Survey of October 20, 2014
(US$/tonne)
Consensus Price
for Q4 2012: US$119.0
Dec 14 Mar 15 Jun
15
Sep 15 % Change from spot Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16
Citigroup 125.0 135.0 140.0 145.0 21.8% Download the sample issue below to see the complete table of forecasts, price charts, and written analysis.
Wilson HTM 120.0 130.0 140.0 145.0 21.8%
Investec 120.0 130.0 130.0 140.0 17.6%
Liberium Capital 110.0 140.0 140.0 140.0 17.6%
Credit Suisse 125.0 130.0 130.0 135.0 13.4%
RBC Capital Markets 120.0 135.0 135.0 135.0 13.4%
BofA Merrill Lynch 119.0 120.0 120.0 130.0 9.2%
CIMB Group 120.0 125.0 125.0 130.0 9.2%
Deutsche Bank 120.0 130.0 125.0 130.0 9.2%
UBS 119.0 125.0 125.0 130.0 9.2%
Morgan Stanley 119.0 120.0 123.0 127.0 6.7%
ANZ 119.0 119.0 122.0 125.0 5.0%
Macquarie Bank 119.0 130.0 130.0 125.0 5.0%
BREE 119.0 122.0 122.0 122.0 2.5%
Commonwealth Bank 119.0 110.6 111.3 114.8 -3.6%
Consensus (Mean) 119.5 126.8 127.9 131.6 10.6%
High 125.0 140.0 140.0 145.0 -
Low 110.0 110.6 111.3 114.8 -
Standard Deviation 3.3 7.6 8.3 8.5 -

Australian Steaming Coal Forecasts From Survey of October 20, 2014
(US$/tonne)
Consensus Price for Q4 2014: US$63.30 Dec 14 Mar 15 Jun
15
Sep 15 % Change from spot Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16
Societe Generale 78.90 79.50 79.60 81.20 28.3% Download the sample issue below to see the complete table of forecasts, price charts, and written analysis.
Euromonitor Int'l 71.07 74.91 78.07 80.25 26.8%
CIMB Group 70.00 70.00 70.00 80.00 26.4%
Liberium Capital 68.00 80.00 80.00 80.00 26.4%
Wilson HTM 70.00 72.00 74.00 77.00 21.6%
Commonwealth Bank 68.00 70.00 72.07 74.00 16.9%
ANZ 66.30 68.50 71.00 73.50 16.1%
Morgan Stanley 70.00 71.17 70.19 73.12 15.5%
Citigroup 74.00 78.00 73.00 73.00 15.3%
Macquarie Bank 72.00 73.00 71.00 70.00 10.6%
UBS 67.00 69.00 70.00 69.00 9.0%
BofA Merrill Lynch 64.00 64.00 64.00 66.00 4.3%
Capital Economics 70.00 69.00 68.00 66.00 4.3%
Econ Intelligence Unit 70.54 71.50 68.50 65.50 3.5%
Consensus (Mean) 69.99 72.18 72.10 73.47 16.1%
High 78.90 80.00 80.00 81.20 -
Low 64.00 64.00 64.00 65.20 -
Standard Deviation 3.59 4.54 4.55 5.62 -

The table above shows a portion of coal price forecasts taken from the October 2014 issue of Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts. A complete sample issue of the publication, which also includes Consensus Forecasts™ for Crude Oil, Gasoline & Heating Oil, Natural Gas, Coal and Uranium, as well as base, ferrous and precious metals, can be downloaded in PDF format by clicking the link below and registering your details.


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