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Coal Price Forecasts

Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts is the result of a comprehensive bi-monthly (6 times per year) survey of over 30 of the world’s most prominent commodity forecasters covering over 25 individual commodity price forecasts including coal.

The only publication of its kind, Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts contains detailed individual analyst and average (mean) price forecasts for the next 10 quarters as well as the long-term outlook.

Coal Price Forecasts Image

The publication has many practical uses including commodity investment analysis, risk management, corporate planning, and budgeting. The commodities covered have been selected for their global appeal and traded on prominent futures markets such as the London Metal Exchange (LME), New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and InterContinental Exchange (ICE). The coal price forecasts below are based on Australian-Japanese contract prices for Australian hard coking coal and Australian steaming coal with a calorific value of 6700kcal/kg.

Australian Coking Coal Forecasts From Survey of October 22, 20112
(US$/tonne)
Consensus Price
for Q4 2012: US$172.5
Dec 12 Mar 13 Jun
13
Sep 13 % Change from spot Dec 13 Mar 14 Jun 14 Sep 14 Dec 14
Macquarie Bank 170.0 195.0 210.0 201.0 21.7% Download the sample issue below to see the complete table of forecasts, price charts, and written analysis.
Wilson HTM 170.0 190.0 200.0 210.0 21.7%
RBS 180.0 185.0 185.0 200.0 15.9%
ANZ 170.0 175.0 185.0 195.0 13.0%
Standard Bank 170.0 175.0 185.0 195.0 13.0%
BoA Merrill Lynch 170.0 180.0 180.0 190.0 10.2%
Investec 197.5 172.5 172.5 190.0 10.2%
Deutsche Bank 159.9 150.5 169.3 188.1 9.0%
Morgan Stanley 170.0 180.0 185.0 185.0 7.3%
UBS 170.0 200.0 195.0 185.0 7.3%
Credit Suisse 170.0 170.0 170.0 175.0 1.5%
Deloitte Acess Economics 175.0 175.0 175.0 175.0 1.5%
BREE 170.0 155.0 170.0 160.0 -7.2%
Consensus (Mean) 172.5 177.2 183.2 189.1 9.6%
High 197.5 200.0 210.0 210.0 -
Low 159.9 150.5 169.3 160.0 -
Standard Deviation 8.7 14.1 12.5 14.0 -

Australian Steaming Coal Forecasts From Survey of October 22, 2012
(US$/tonne)
Consensus Price for Q4 2011: US$103.0 Dec 12 Mar 13 Jun
13
Sep 13 % Change from spot Dec 13 Mar 14 Jun 14 Sep 14 Dec 14
Euromonitor Int'l 98.27 103.71 110.18 114.52 11.2% Download the sample issue below to see the complete table of forecasts, price charts, and written analysis.
Societe Generale 106.30 107.90 109.00 109.50 6.3%
Wilson HTM 95.00 102.00 105.00 108.00 4.9%
ANZ 115.00 115.00 105.00 105.00 1.9%
RBS 95.00 100.0 105.00 105.00 1.9%
UBS 115.00 115.00 105.00 105.00 1.9%
Macquarie Bank 115.25 115.25 104.00 104.00 1.0%
BREE 92.00 95.00 100.00 100.00 -2.9%
Credit Suisse 90.00 95.00 95.00 100.00 -2.9%
Deutsche Bank 115.20 115.20 97.00 97.00 -5.8%
BoA Merrill Lynch 85.00 85.00 95.00 95.00 -7.8%
Investec 115.00 105.00 105.00 95.00 -7.8%
Morgan Stanley 115.00 115.00 95.00 95.00 -7.8%
Barclays Capital 90.00 92.00 89.00 90.00 -12.6%
Consensus (Mean) 103.00 105.08 101.37 101.64 -1.3%
High 115.25 115.25 110.18 114.52 -
Low 85.00 92.00 89.00 90.00 -
Standard Deviation 11.83 8.87 6.23 6.81 -

The table above shows a portion of coal price forecasts taken from the October 2012 issue of Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts. A complete sample issue of the publication, which also includes Consensus Forecasts™ for Crude Oil, Gasoline & Heating Oil, Natural Gas, Coal and Uranium, as well as base, ferrous and precious metals, can be downloaded in PDF format by clicking the link below and registering your details.


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